جلد 33، شماره 4 - ( 9-1401 )                   جلد 33 شماره 4 صفحات 26-1 | برگشت به فهرست نسخه ها


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Khatti Dizabadi A, Arasteh A, Paydar M M. Real Options Based Analysis for Supply Chain Management. IJIEPR 2022; 33 (4) :1-26
URL: http://ijiepr.iust.ac.ir/article-1-1177-fa.html
Real Options Based Analysis for Supply Chain Management. نشریه بین المللی مهندسی صنایع و تحقیقات تولید. 1401; 33 (4) :1-26

URL: http://ijiepr.iust.ac.ir/article-1-1177-fa.html


چکیده:   (1421 مشاهده)
Supply chain management is one of the requirements for achieving economic growth in any supply chain. If managers' decisions are optimally allocated, it will be possible for companies and industries with a competitive and profitable advantage to grow and develop. The main desire of any company for survival is to minimize costs and maximize profitability. Due to the increasing complexity and dynamics of the situation, decision-making in this area requires more advanced analytical methods. Accordingly, the Real options theory has emerged, which introduces a new way of thinking about investing, especially in conditions of uncertainty. In this paper, a multi-period model is considered that examines the demand uncertainty in each period and also uses the Real options theory to seek the optimal strategy for investors in conditions of uncertainty and the effect of investors’ discretion on it. Using a decision tree to estimate the probable demand in each period and using Monte Carlo simulations to identify the lowest cost scenario in each period, the model has been solved in this research. In the case of the uncertainty parameter, sensitivity analysis is performed, and under different values ​​of this parameter, the obtained result is evaluated and validated. And the extension of outsourcing will increase the company’s profitability and meet higher demand and lower costs.
     
نوع مطالعه: پژوهشي | موضوع مقاله: اقتصاد مهندسی
دریافت: 1399/9/23 | پذیرش: 1401/6/19 | انتشار: 1401/9/18

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