M.h. Vahidnia, A.a. Alesheikh, A. Alimohammadi, F. Hosseinali,
Volume 7, Issue 3 (9-2009)
Abstract
Landslides are major natural hazards which not only result in the loss of human life but also cause economic
burden on the society. Therefore, it is essential to develop suitable models to evaluate the susceptibility of slope failures
and their zonations. This paper scientifically assesses various methods of landslide susceptibility zonation in GIS
environment. A comparative study of Weights of Evidence (WOE), Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), Artificial
Neural Network (ANN), and Generalized Linear Regression (GLR) procedures for landslide susceptibility zonation is
presented. Controlling factors such as lithology, landuse, slope angle, slope aspect, curvature, distance to fault, and
distance to drainage were considered as explanatory variables. Data of 151 sample points of observed landslides in
Mazandaran Province, Iran, were used to train and test the approaches. Small scale maps (1:1,000,000) were used in
this study. The estimated accuracy ranges from 80 to 88 percent. It is then inferred that the application of WOE in
rating maps’ categories and ANN to weight effective factors result in the maximum accuracy.
A. Ardeshir, M. Amiri, Y. Ghasemi, M. Errington,
Volume 12, Issue 4 (12-2014)
Abstract
In the water industry tunnels can be used to transfer water from a basin to other areas over varying distances. The construction of such tunnels is inherently risky and can result in unpredicted events and incidents. It is therefore necessary that thorough risk assessments are carried out as a priority of the owner, contractor and consultant organization. This is so that, through a systematic and logical plan, they can risk posed by these unforeseen events and incidents. In this paper, the risks and their main causes which are often encountered in such projects are identified and assessed. A fault tree method is applied in order to identify the main causes of events and incidents. By its nature a Risk assessment cannot be defined by absolute values and so fuzzy data must be used in order to calculate the probability of incidence and the severity of the risk. This is done on the four main criteria of time, cost, quality and safety. In order to estimate the significance of each criterion and to calculate the significance of the total influence of risk Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is applied. In this paper the case study of Dasht-e Zahab water conveyance tunnel has been selected for discussion as it was subjected to severe and multiple hazards. The results obtained using the method were validated by conducting different interviews with the field experts. It was concluded that by applying the proposed methodology on the case study the risks of the project can be evaluated in a more methodical and accurate way than could be done without using the method. This approach is therefore recommended for similar types of projects where there are complicated risks that must be thoroughly investigated and understood.